Dec 6, 2022 · Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted …

Feb 24, 2025 · In 2023, we made changes to the way we calculated our favorability, approval, generic congressional ballot and national 2024 Republican primary polling averages.

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals).

Jul 1, 2016 · If you can’t find a contest in the dropdown menu above, it’s because there hasn’t been enough polling in that state yet. We’ll add new polling averages and forecasts as soon as the data is …

Oct 6, 2020 · Interested Parties Global Strategy Group and Public Policy Polling DATE: RE: October 1, 2020

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals).

Jan 5, 2021 · All runoff polls FiveThirtyEight’s averages use all runoff polls conducted since the Nov. 3 general election. We adjust polls for house effects based on how much each poll differs from the …

Aug 16, 2021 · Leger, the largest Canadian-owned polling and marketing research firm, in collaboration with The Canadian Press, conducted this web survey with a representative sample of 2,007 …

Feb 14, 2025 · State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Feb 25, 2025 · State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.