NORFOLK, Va. — When I started as a professional meteorologist in 1980, long-range hurricane forecasts from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) went out three days, or 72 hours. It would be over 20 ...

Weather forecasts have gotten quite good over the years, but their temperatures aren’t always spot on — and the result when they underplay extremes can be lethal. Even a 1-degree difference in a ...

Due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere, weather forecasts, even with ever improving numerical weather prediction models, eventually lose all skill. Meteorologists have a strong desire to better ...

The 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season has been relatively quiet, especially since we're expecting above-average tropical activity this season. After a period of no tropical activity, the arrival of ...

The cone represents the probable track of the storm's center, with a 66% chance of it staying within the cone. Misinterpretations of the cone include assuming all impacts will occur within its ...