The real estate market has long been a significant barometer for economic health, influencing everything from stock markets to consumer ...

A new report from the Federal Reserve indicates that prediction markets can be a valuable tool for researchers and policymakers in terms of providing rich, frequently updated probabilities regarding ...

One of the underrated challenges of running a platform like Polymarket, on which users speculate and bet on possible outcomes of future events, is how to connect them back to reality — that is, ...

The gambling industry has been actively voicing its concern about the encroachment of prediction markets on sports betting. Critics say prediction markets are little more but sports betting with some ...

To his credit, Kasy is a realist here. He doesn’t presume that any of these proposals will be easy to implement. Or that it will happen overnight, or even in the near future. The troubling question at ...

When Maduro fell, somebody cleaned up. Somewhere around Dec. 27, an anonymous user placed a series of bets on Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction platform, that Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro ...