The gambler, the quantum physicist and the juror all reason about probabilities: the probability of winning, of a radioactive atom decaying, of a defendant’s guilt. But despite their ubiquity, experts ...
AI researchers use the expression “P(doom”) to mean the probability that the rise of artificial intelligence will have a disastrous effect on humanity, such as extinction or enslavement. Expert ...
Life is uncertain. None of us know what is going to happen. We know little of what has happened in the past or is happening now outside our immediate experience. Uncertainty has been called the ...
DR. JEFFREYS implies in his letter in NATURE of September 17 (p. 535) that a prior probability cannot have a frequency interpretation. That there are several usages of the word probability is well ...
A probability is a number that takes some value equal to or between zero and one. If the probability of the 'event' of interest is zero, then the event cannot occur. So, for example, the probability ...
En desacuerdo crítico con la interpretación propensiva popperiana, sostengo la tesis de que el concepto matemático de probabilidad puede ser interpretado como el grado de posibilidad física. Sea el ...
Bernoulli’s 1713 golden theorem is viewed retrospectively in the context of modern model-based frequentist inference that revolves around the concept of a prespecified statistical model Mθ (x), ...
A new version of quantum theory sweeps away the bizarre paradoxes of the microscopic world. The cost? Quantum information exists only in your imagination Flawlessly accounting for the behavior of ...
The gambler, the quantum physicist and the juror all reason about probabilities: the probability of winning, of a radioactive atom decaying, of a defendant's guilt. But despite their ubiquity, experts ...
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