Discover how credibility theory helps actuaries use historical data to estimate risks and set insurance premiums; learn how ...

Bayesian statistics represents a powerful framework for data analysis that centres on Bayes’ theorem, enabling researchers to update existing beliefs with incoming evidence. By combining prior ...

Articulate the primary interpretations of probability theory and the role these interpretations play in Bayesian inference Use Bayesian inference to solve real-world statistics and data science ...

Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...

In science, progress is possible. In fact, if one believes in Bayes' theorem, scientific progress is inevitable as predictions are made and as beliefs are tested and refined. ~ Nate Silver If the ...